Wednesday, April 27, 2011

EKG - Sensitive for MI?

Motivation: During my final clerkship in medicine, I was plagued by chest pain.  Almost every day, a patient complained of chest pain, and the usual reflex was to order a 12-lead EKG.  Most of the time, the EKG was unchanged, but I did not know what to make of the normal result.  Could this person still be having a myocardial infarction?  The answer was, after all, yes.  At the same time, an unchanged EKG presumably decreased the likelihood of the patient suffering an MI.  So, how sensitive is EKG or serial EKGs for MI?

Paper: Usefulness of Automated Serial 12-Lead ECG Monitoring During the Initial Emergency Department Evaluation of Patients With Chest Pain. Fesmire, F. et. al. Annals of Emergency Medicine (1998), (31): 3-11.

Methods: A prospective observational study in 1000 patients with chest pain admitted at an academic center.  Patients received an initial ECG and automated sequential ECG 20 minutes apart.  The ECG information was compared against the final diagnosis at discharge.  Acute myocardial infarction was diagnosed on the basis of cardiac enzymes, new Q-wave formation, or death within 24 hours of presentation.  Unstable angina was diagnosed if the in-hospital attending diagnosed the chest pain as likely ischemia related.  Investigators examining the ECG were blinded to final diagnoses.  Exclusion criteria for patients included cocaine use, tachyrhythmia, presence of pacemaker, and discharge from ED.

Results:
Acute Myocardial Infarction: Among patients with final diagnoses of acute MI, the initial ECG had a sensitivity of 55.4%.  Serial ECG twenty minutes apart had sensitivity of 68.1%.  The difference in sensitivity between serial ECG and initial ECG was statistically significant (p < 0.001).  The specificity of initial ECG and serial ECG monitoring for acute MI were comparable (94.6% vs. 94.8%, difference not significant).
Acute Coronary Syndrome (ACS): For patients with final diagnoses of ACS (which consisted of MI plus unstable angina), the sensitivity of an initial ECG was 27.5% while the sensitivity of serial ECG was 34.2% (difference statistically significant with p < 0.001).  Serial ECG had higher specificity at 99.4% compared to 97.1% for initial ECG (p < 0.01). 
Mortality: In the study, 17 patients died (8 with initial diagnosis of acute MI, 8 with initial diagnosis of unstable angina, and one patient from non-ACS causes).  17.6% of deaths occurred in patients with no changes in serial ECG.

Discussion: Overall, a one-time ECG is a pretty insensitive tool for detecting acute myocardial infarction (sensitivity of 55.4%) and an even poorer tool for diagnosing ACS (sensitivity of 27.5%).  Serial ECG had higher sensitivities, but the difference to me was not overwhelming.  Rather, I think that the study highlights that if ACS is a real concern, the diagnoses still hinges on a good story and cardiac enzyme monitoring.  The ECG can be used as a triage tool to identify patients with STEMI, but for all patients with ACS in hosptial, the ECG is not an appropriate tool to rule out concern.

Some of the methodological deficiencies in the study may have inflated the calculated sensitivity of ECG.  The study only considered patients admitted to the hospital, but it is known that myocardial infarctions are often missed in the emergency department.  So, it is possible that some patients with MI and normal ECG were discharged.  With inclusion of these patients, the sensitivity would be even lower.

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